Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.6%
Portimonense
15.7%
Draw
72.7%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Portimonense
vs
2.48
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).