Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Leeds
32.6%
Draw
27.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Leeds
vs
0.97
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).