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29 Aug 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.8%
Elche
23.1%
Draw
22.1%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Elche

vs
1.10

Levante

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).