Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Scunthorpe
24.2%
Draw
59.7%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Scunthorpe
vs
1.56
Southend
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).