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AHT: 02CSV

01 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.3%
Ipswich
13.7%
Draw
9.1%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

2.54

Ipswich

vs
0.72

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.3%
3-0
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
6.6%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-0
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
0-0
3.2%
2-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).