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12 Apr 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.0%
Inter
12.6%
Draw
6.5%
Cagliari

Expected Goals (xG)

2.72

Inter

vs
0.65

Cagliari

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.7%
3-0
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
3.3%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).