Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Genk
26.1%
Draw
30.1%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Genk
vs
1.27
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).