Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Sochaux
30.4%
Draw
23.9%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Sochaux
vs
0.68
Bastia
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.551.2%
Over 2.525.6%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
0-0
16.3%
0-1
12.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).