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12 Dec 2021 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.1%
Ad. Demirspor
28.2%
Draw
46.7%
Giresunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Ad. Demirspor

vs
1.82

Giresunspor

Markets

BTTS63.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
0-3
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
1-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).