Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Newcastle
19.2%
Draw
38.3%
Pontefract Collieries
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Newcastle
vs
2.16
Pontefract Collieries
Markets
BTTS79.1%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.4%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.564.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
1-1
5.7%
3-2
5.4%
2-3
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
3-3
3.9%
4-2
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
1-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).