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02 Oct 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.2%
Anderlecht
28.6%
Draw
34.3%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Anderlecht

vs
1.21

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).