Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Livorno
28.1%
Draw
22.7%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Livorno
vs
0.97
Cesena
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).