Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Fulham
30.6%
Draw
29.8%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Fulham
vs
1.13
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).