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16 May 2026 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.6%
FC Koln
20.3%
Draw
33.2%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

FC Koln

vs
2.02

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS79.1%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.581.5%
Over 3.564.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
1-1
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-2
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
2-3
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
4-2
3.4%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).