Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Colchester
28.6%
Draw
26.5%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Colchester
vs
0.85
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).