Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
Lugo
31.3%
Draw
42.7%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Lugo
vs
1.09
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.512.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).