Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Merstham
19.3%
Draw
36.6%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Merstham
vs
2.07
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS78.2%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.580.8%
Over 3.563.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
1-1
5.9%
3-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-3
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
3-3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
1-0
3.1%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).