Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Eibar
26.9%
Draw
10.7%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Eibar
vs
0.41
Lugo
Markets
BTTS25.1%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.1%
0-0
16.3%
2-0
16.1%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-0
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
0-2
1.4%
2-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).