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24 Aug 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.6%
Kalmar
26.0%
Draw
51.4%
Malmö FF

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Kalmar

vs
1.75

Malmö FF

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).