Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Cheltenham
25.5%
Draw
53.5%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Cheltenham
vs
1.48
Northampton
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.1%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).