Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Accrington
26.3%
Draw
38.9%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Accrington
vs
1.26
Swindon
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).