Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Exeter
21.9%
Draw
18.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Exeter
vs
0.81
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).