Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Mallorca
27.7%
Draw
23.2%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Mallorca
vs
0.88
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).