Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Espanol
22.3%
Draw
25.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Espanol
vs
1.33
Almeria
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).