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20 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Walsall
27.2%
Draw
40.2%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Walsall

vs
1.22

Bradford

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).