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DHT: 11

19 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Charleroi
24.7%
Draw
37.7%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Charleroi

vs
1.54

Genk

Markets

BTTS62.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).