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08 Jul 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.5%
Strømsgodset
19.9%
Draw
59.7%
Sandefjord

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Strømsgodset

vs
2.20

Sandefjord

Markets

BTTS62.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).