Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Mainz
25.8%
Draw
21.5%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Mainz
vs
1.00
Hertha
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).