Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
RB Leipzig
22.3%
Draw
44.5%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
RB Leipzig
vs
2.04
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS72.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-3
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).