Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Perugia
24.9%
Draw
23.3%
Pescara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Perugia
vs
1.18
Pescara
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).