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10 May 2026 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.1%
Kalmar
30.7%
Draw
24.1%
Halmstad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Kalmar

vs
0.91

Halmstad

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).