Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Malaga
22.3%
Draw
24.8%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Malaga
vs
1.22
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).