Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Estoril
24.2%
Draw
35.7%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Estoril
vs
1.63
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).