Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Middlesbrough
25.0%
Draw
15.6%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Middlesbrough
vs
0.79
West Brom
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).