Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Mallorca
24.8%
Draw
27.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Mallorca
vs
1.20
Elche
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).