Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Cosenza
30.6%
Draw
27.0%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Cosenza
vs
0.99
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).