Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.2%
Dender
20.9%
Draw
70.9%
St. Gilloise
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Dender
vs
1.90
St. Gilloise
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-2
16.5%
0-3
10.4%
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
0-4
5.0%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).