Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Oviedo
26.2%
Draw
27.0%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Oviedo
vs
1.03
Malaga
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).