Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Barnsley
25.4%
Draw
59.0%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Barnsley
vs
1.71
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).