Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.5%
Ipswich
12.4%
Draw
83.1%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Ipswich
vs
2.94
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
0-3
11.9%
0-4
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
1-1
5.9%
1-4
5.5%
0-5
5.2%
0-0
3.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).