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18 Mar 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Rizespor
32.5%
Draw
28.0%
Samsunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Rizespor

vs
1.17

Samsunspor

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.6%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).