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26 Oct 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
St Pauli
29.4%
Draw
35.1%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

St Pauli

vs
1.21

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).