Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Cartagena
30.4%
Draw
31.7%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Cartagena
vs
0.95
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).