Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Caen
28.9%
Draw
53.1%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Caen
vs
1.21
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS29.0%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.6%
0-0
16.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).