Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
York
21.7%
Draw
13.9%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
York
vs
0.86
Oldham
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).