Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Celta
23.2%
Draw
51.3%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Celta
vs
1.88
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).