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AHT: 01CSV

07 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.3%
Wigan
25.5%
Draw
34.2%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Wigan

vs
1.13

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).