Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Sudtirol
30.4%
Draw
30.5%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Sudtirol
vs
1.09
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).