Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Portsmouth
29.4%
Draw
42.0%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Portsmouth
vs
1.35
Norwich
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).