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AHT: 01CSV

23 Sept 2016

Amiens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
Orleans
23.2%
Draw
24.8%
Amiens

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Orleans

vs
1.00

Amiens

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).